Brazil and Argentina are set to take a historic step towards a shared currency, potentially creating the world’s second-largest currency bloc.
The possibility of a common currency as a way to increase economic cooperation and integration between the two countries. A common currency would make it easier for businesses and individuals to conduct trade and transactions across the border, and could also help to stabilize the value of the currency in both countries. However, there are also some potential drawbacks to a common currency, such as the loss of monetary policy autonomy and the possibility of increased inflation. Ultimately, the decision to move forward with preparations for a common currency would depend on careful consideration of the potential benefits and risks. Lets check some of the Merits and Demerits of a Common Currency.
Pros
- Increased trade and economic integration: A common currency would make it easier for businesses and individuals to conduct trade and transactions across the border, which could lead to increased economic activity and growth.
- Stabilization of currency value: A common currency would help to stabilize the value of the currency in both countries, which could help to reduce inflation and increase predictability for businesses and investors.
- Reduced transaction costs: Without the need to exchange currency, businesses and individuals would save on transaction costs.
- Greater price transparency: A common currency would make it easier for consumers to compare prices across borders, which could lead to increased competition and lower prices.
- Increased investment opportunities: A common currency would make it easier for investors to move money between the countries, which could lead to increased investment and economic growth.
- Improved monetary policy coordination: With a common currency, monetary policy decisions would be made jointly, which could help to stabilize the economy and reduce the risk of economic downturns.
- Political and diplomatic benefits: A common currency could also serve as a symbol of the countries’ close relationship and cooperation.
Cons
- Loss of monetary policy autonomy: With a common currency, both countries would lose the ability to independently set monetary policy to address their own specific economic conditions.
- Risk of increased inflation: A common currency could lead to increased inflation, especially if one country has higher inflation rates than the other.
- Difficulty in adjusting to asymmetric shocks: If one country’s economy is hit by a negative shock, such as a recession, it would be difficult for that country to adjust its monetary policy to address the situation since the currency would be shared with another country.
- Difficulty in making structural adjustments: With a common currency, it would be difficult for either country to make structural adjustments, such as labor market reform, to improve competitiveness.
- Risk of currency misalignment: A common currency could lead to a misalignment of the currency if the relative economic conditions of the two countries change significantly.
- Risk of increased imbalances: A common currency could lead to increased imbalances in trade and capital flows between the two countries, which could lead to economic problems.
- Political and diplomatic challenges: The process of creating a common currency would require significant political and diplomatic efforts, and there could be resistance from some groups in each country.